Louisville vs. Arkansas Odds, Line, Betting: 2022 Maui Invitational Picks, Nov 21 Predictions from Proven Model

The No. 9 Arkansas Razorbacks will look to maintain their perfect start to the season when they take on the Louisville Cardinals in the first round of the 2022 Maui Invitational Monday night. Arkansas has had three double-digit wins so far, including a 71-56 win over South Dakota State last Wednesday. Louisville has lost all three games by exactly one point, going down in a 61-60 final against Appalachian State last Tuesday.

Tip-off is set for 5:00 p.m. ET. The Razorbacks are favored at 15 points in the latest Louisville vs. Arkansas odds by Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 140 on the SportsLine model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates each Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated more than $1,200 for $100 players using its top-flight college basketball picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed him has seen profitable returns.

Now the model has Louisville vs. Arkansas in her sights. You can go to SportsLine to see the selection. Here are several college basketball odds for Louisville vs. Arkansas:

  • Distribution between Louisville and Arkansas: Arkansas -15
  • Louisville vs. Arkansas over/under: 140 points
  • Money line between Louisville and Arkansas: Arkansas -1700, Louisville +900
  • Louisville vs. Arkansas Tips: See tips here

Featured Game | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Louisville Cardinals

Why Louisville can cover

Louisville is 0-3 in a season for the first time since the 1986-87 season, but all three losses have been exactly one point. The Cardinals were 13 points behind Appalachian State at halftime last Tuesday before putting together a second-half rally that fell just short. Guard El Ellis had a game-high 29 points while forward Brandon Huntley-Hatfield added 12 points and 10 rebounds in a double-double performance.

Ellis leads Louisville with 24.0 points and 3.3 assists per game. Huntley-Hatfield, a transfer from Tennessee, adds 10.3 points and a team-high 8.7 rebounds. Louisville could easily go 3-0 into this contest, which would have resulted in much less dispersion.

Why Arkansas can cover

Louisville hasn’t proven it’s ready to compete with a high-level program since the Cardinals have been favored by at least 5 points in their first three games. Arkansas has won its three contests, averaging nearly 20 points per game, and comes to a 71-56 win over South Dakota State. Ricky Council IV posted a game-high 19 points and led four Arkansas players by double digits.

Trevon Brazile recorded a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds, while Vomte Davis (13) and Jordan Walsh (10) were each in doubles. Arkansas kept South Dakota State on 32.1% shooting and forced 20 turnovers, which doesn’t bode well for a Louisville team that gave away 18 times against Appalachian State. The Cardinals have covered the spread just twice in their last eight games, and they’ve covered an SEC team just once in their last seven games.

How to make Louisville vs. Arkansas picks

The model ran Arkansas vs. Louisville 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is sloping down and it also generated a point spread pick that hits 70% of the simulations. You can only see the selection at SportsLine.

So who will win Louisville vs. Arkansas? And which side of the spread hits 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Arkansas-Louisville battle you should jump to and find out.