The dust from the midterm elections has settled in Washington. Here are 5 key takeaways

The results of the midterm elections had far-reaching ramifications, from Congress to presidential politics.

Overall, the electorate warned against going too far, from extremes, but we’re likely heading for a chaotic, partisan two years just as the 2024 presidential season draws near, with unanswered questions about who will even be on the ballot for each party in this race.

Here are five lessons from the 2022 Midterms:

1. Donald Trump is now more vulnerable to a primary challenge: Inflation was the main issue for voters, Republicans became more trusted, and yet Independents turned to Democrats and defied history. What happened? Trump-backed candidates lost up and down. Now his own party is pointing fingers at the former President for losing the Senate and a less-than-expected majority in the House of Representatives; he is facing a special prosecutor at the Department of Justice; and even as he announced a presidential nomination again this week, many in the GOP are looking to “DeFuture.”

2. The next Republican leader will have a hard time legislating: Rep. Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., wants to be spokesman. A majority of his conference elected him their leader this week, but he still has work to do 218 of its members to vote for him as speaker next January. But even if he does, Republicans will have a hard time passing legislation because of a narrow majority in the House of Representatives — likely just four seats at this point.

3. Democrats holds the Senate is important: They will be able to block all House legislation and show a united front with President Biden. More practically, they will be able to continue to reshape the federal judiciary, and if a vacancy on the Supreme Court opens up, Biden and the Democrats can fill it. We have seen the importance of appointing Supreme Court justices Dobbs decision this year.

4. Still, Republicans will make a spectacle in the House of Representatives: The drama in the House of Representatives will likely take center stage for the next two years as the 2024 presidential election draws near. But the House GOP will still be able to conduct high-profile investigations, including into the President’s son Hunter, and potentially move to indicting members of the Biden administration (although that would go nowhere in the Democratic Senate).

5. A new era of democratic power is emerging: With Democrat losses and relegation to a minority in the House of Representatives for the next two years, longtime House Democrat leader Nancy Pelosi is stepping aside. It will usher in a new era of younger democratic leaders. But Pelosi’s time as Democratic leader should not be underestimated. Despite a largely mythological Dems in Disarray narrative, Pelosi delivered a remarkable 20 years of consistency and effectiveness. During their tenure, Republicans have seen their speakers struggle to keep the party together — Newt Gingrich saw a backlash that led to his downfall, Dennis Hastert resigned, John Boehner was essentially ousted by the far right, and Paul Ryan’s brand suffered immensely under Trump.

The bottom line is that as Pelosi makes way for a new generation, she will likely go down in history as one of the most effective public speakers.

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